Timberwolves over/under at 27.5 wins

Philo Beddoe · Post by **Philo Beddoe** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:12 am

So 28-44 wins you money.

Wolves will win 35 games this year. Lock.

I need to open up a new betting account.

j2j · Post by **j2j** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:14 am

I put them at 30, but not a comfortable 30. Remember they're playing 10 less games this year.

Philo Beddoe · Post by **Philo Beddoe** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:16 am

I am going to put $200 on it. This way I will get all pissed off when they lose.

Style · Post by **Style** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:24 am

Under.

jffl_commish · Post by **jffl_commish** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:25 am

Any idea where the 10 fewer games are getting chopped from? Eastern Conference games? Division games? As long as they aren't losing Eastern conference games, 33.

Philo Beddoe · Post by **Philo Beddoe** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:34 am

jffl_commish wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:25 am Any idea where the 10 fewer games are getting chopped from? Eastern Conference games? Division games? As long as they aren't losing Eastern conference games, 33.

You play everyone in your conference 3 times and everyone in the other conference 2 times.

Sid Hartman · Post by **Sid Hartman** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:40 am

Philo Beddoe wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:34 am
jffl_commish wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:25 am Any idea where the 10 fewer games are getting chopped from? Eastern Conference games? Division games? As long as they aren't losing Eastern conference games, 33.
You play everyone in your conference 3 times and everyone in the other conference 2 times.

In that case 27.5 I take the over

j2j · Post by **j2j** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:40 am

So they cut 10 games from within the conference. Honestly that seems like a stupid way to do it. The should have used this season to test out a more pod based system and 1-16 playoff seeding.

If they're going to try and fit 72 games into a shorter period of time, plus maybe a play-in tournament? At least cut down travel by going with the 5 division model.

SO_MONEY · Post by **SO_MONEY** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:48 am

Man that is really close. With a shorter season, things needing to work out just right, avoid injuries and infections. I would say 28 wins, so I go with the over, but a half game margin, I avoid that bet if you are talking real money.

memyworld · Post by **memyworld** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:42 pm

For reference, 28 wins in a 72-game season would translate to 30 wins in an 82-game season (39%).

Post by **TrueBlue** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:46 pm

Seems about right. I suppose I'd say 30ish, but im a homer so...

memyworld · Post by **memyworld** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:46 pm

j2j wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:40 am So they cut 10 games from within the conference. Honestly that seems like a stupid way to do it. The should have used this season to test out a more pod based system and 1-16 playoff seeding.

If they're going to try and fit 72 games into a shorter period of time, plus maybe a play-in tournament? At least cut down travel by going with the 5 division model.

It's sort of a perfect model, though, without losing too many games: 3 conference games per team, 2 non-conference per team.

If you want an equitable 16-team playoff structure, you have to go with the Premier League-type model where it's home and away vs. everyone, but that's only 58 games. Great for fresh legs but poor for revenue.

weimy froob · Post by **weimy froob** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:51 pm

i think the bet is on the over. good luck philo!

YBBR · Post by **YBBR** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:56 pm

No major injuries this year and they got a good shot at it.

Dlo and Towns have still played like one game together, right?

jodaman01 · Post by **jodaman01** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 2:25 pm

I’ll go with the OVER.

GO WOLVES!!

thinktank · Post by **thinktank** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 2:44 pm

memyworld wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:42 pm For reference, 28 wins in a 72-game season would translate to 30 wins in an 82-game season (39%).

31.6 games.

I'll take the over.

Honestly thinking about betting on that.

Philo Beddoe · Post by **Philo Beddoe** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:32 pm

The over under is 27.5 on short season.

bubu dubu. · Post by **bubu dubu.** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:34 pm

Philo Beddoe wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:16 am I am going to put $200 on it. This way I will get all pissed off when they lose.

smart

RubeTube · Post by **RubeTube** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:40 pm

They have the number set right. That's right around where they will be.

I say in 82 game season that they win 35.

HeHateMe · Post by **HeHateMe** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:48 pm

Historically if you bet on the under with the Wolves you win a LOT!

Bob Wiley · Post by **Bob Wiley** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:49 pm

I’ll take the over.

witljon · Post by **witljon** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:59 pm

HeHateMe wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:48 pm Historically if you bet on the under with the Wolves you win a LOT!

But we always should be optimistic....

LordNu · Post by **LordNu** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 6:21 pm

How much they paying for the championship?

Stork311 · Post by **Stork311** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 6:43 pm

Over. With confidence.

flexbuffchest · Post by **flexbuffchest** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:09 pm

Over

Edit: FOrogt it was only a 72 win season...I'll have to think this over some.

Beef Supreme · Post by **Beef Supreme** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 8:02 pm

My first instinct was over easy and I was going to be insulted.

But yeah... shorter season... I still take the over, but am less insulted.

bubu dubu. · Post by **bubu dubu.** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 8:19 pm

Wolves were 4-10 after all the trades. Equal to about a 29% win rate. Probably a little misleading, as KAT and DLO only played 1 game together. If they do play most of the season together, is that good enough to increase the win percentage that much? Cause they havent really improved the team much elsewhere.

Another thing the Wolves have going against them in the over/under, is that they have shown they aren't afraid to tank, so if things go south after the ASB (will there even be an ASG this year?), theres going to be some curious injuries that sideline our best players, and they will put up the least competitive team they can.

somuchyummy · Post by **somuchyummy** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 9:03 pm

bubu dubu. wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 8:19 pm Wolves were 4-10 after all the trades. Equal to about a 29% win rate. Probably a little misleading, as KAT and DLO only played 1 game together. If they do play most of the season together, is that good enough to increase the win percentage that much? Cause they havent really improved the team much elsewhere.

Another thing the Wolves have going against them in the over/under, is that they have shown they aren't afraid to tank, so if things go south after the ASB (will there even be an ASG this year?), theres going to be some curious injuries that sideline our best players, and they will put up the least competitive team they can.

but we have no picks next year. however, that would be very timberwolf-like. tank in a year with no picks.

bubu dubu. · Post by **bubu dubu.** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 9:10 pm

somuchyummy wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 9:03 pm
bubu dubu. wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 8:19 pm Wolves were 4-10 after all the trades. Equal to about a 29% win rate. Probably a little misleading, as KAT and DLO only played 1 game together. If they do play most of the season together, is that good enough to increase the win percentage that much? Cause they havent really improved the team much elsewhere.

Another thing the Wolves have going against them in the over/under, is that they have shown they aren't afraid to tank, so if things go south after the ASB (will there even be an ASG this year?), theres going to be some curious injuries that sideline our best players, and they will put up the least competitive team they can.
but we have no picks next year. however, that would be very timberwolf-like. tank in a year with no picks.

ah, good point. I forgot about that. That definitely is a positive for the over crowd.

thinktank · Post by **thinktank** » Mon Nov 23, 2020 9:14 pm

HeHateMe wrote: ↑Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:48 pm Historically if you bet on the under with the Wolves you win a LOT!

You also don’t bet on them winning two #1 picks in 5 years.

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Timberwolves over/under at 27.5 wins

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